Michael T. McCaul

Michael T. McCaul

A-TIERSenateConfidence: 95%
Based on Congress Tier List analysis of 13514 trades, Michael T. McCaul (Senate) is rated A-TIER with a 46% market win rate and +7.83% average alpha vs the S&P 500.

Overall Performance

Total Trades
13514
Win Rate
46%
Avg Alpha
+7.83%
Median Alpha
-2.28%

Buy Signal UNRANKED

Buy Trades
4388
Win Rate
46%
Avg Alpha
+7.83%
Sector Alpha
+2.98%

Sell Signal UNRANKED

Sell Trades
3210
Win Rate
53%
Avg Alpha
+18.23%
Sector Alpha
+13.23%

Top Stocks by Performance

+ 606 more stocks traded

Recent Trades (13514 total)

DateActionTickerAmountAlpha
2025-11-28BUYASBA$15K-$50K+2.26%
2025-11-28BUYAPOS$1K-$15K
2025-11-26BUYUST1$250K-$500K
2025-11-26SELLFCFS$15K-$50K
2025-11-24SELLAER$1K-$15K
2025-11-24BUYVTEX$50K-$100K
2025-11-24BUYCARM$100K-$250K
2025-11-24SELLG$100K-$250K
2025-11-24BUYBNRE$50K-$100K
2025-11-20BUYSLND$1K-$15K
2025-11-20BUYHAYW$15K-$50K+7.23%
2025-11-20BUYMSA$15K-$50K+14.22%
2025-11-20BUYOSLE$100K-$250K
2025-11-19BUYUPHN$100K-$250K
2025-11-19SELLGOOG$1K-$15K
2025-11-19BUYVVV$15K-$50K+46.41%
2025-11-19BUYCVCI$15K-$50K
2025-11-19SELLASML$1K-$15K
2025-11-19BUYATR$15K-$50K+42.62%
2025-11-18BUYLPX$15K-$50K+27.52%

How We Calculate These Stats

What is "Alpha"?

Alpha measures how much a trade outperformed the S&P 500 over the same period. +10% alpha means the stock gained 10 percentage points more than the market. We calculate alpha from the transaction date to either the sale date (for closed positions) or today (for open positions).

What is "Win Rate"?

Win rate is the percentage of trades that beat the S&P 500. A 60% win rate means 6 out of 10 trades outperformed the market. Note: win rate treats all trades equally regardless of size—a $1,000 trade counts the same as a $1,000,000 trade.

Why focus on purchases only?

We measure alpha on purchases because that's where stock-picking skill shows up. When someone buys a stock, we can track how it performs. Sales are paired with their original purchase to calculate the full round-trip return.

How is "Top Stocks" performance calculated?

Stock-specific performance is dollar-weighted—larger positions count more than smaller ones. A politician who put $5M into NVDA and made 100% gets credit for more alpha than someone who put $5K in and made 100%. This shows their actual portfolio impact.

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